Over at the DMN site, there's a piece up talking about the Vegas predictions for the 2015 season. Specifically, it notes that Bovada has the over/under on wins for Texas set at 77 1/2, and the World Series odds set at 50/1, the same as the Houston Astros.
I have a feeling that many are going to be quick to scream that Vegas doesn't know what the hell they're doing, but for those that haven't thought of it from this angle, let me explain: Vegas is setting the odds in a way that they feel they're most likely to make money.
For Texas, there have been many, myself included, that feel like this roster is at least an 85-win team in 2015. There are others, however, like David Schoenfield, that believe that Texas is a 72-win team in 2015. Love ya, Dave, but we're going to have to disagree on that one.
By setting the over/under at 77 1/2 wins, Bovada is expecting bets to come in from both sides. It's a money business, and using the over/under figures as some sort of prediction for the outcome of the season would seem to me to be silly, at best.
But hey, if you've got $100 burning a hole in your pocket, by all means, feel free to put it down on Texas to win the World Series. We can split the winnings.